On the evening of October 5, seismic activity registering a 4.6 magnitude on the Richter scale was detected in Iran’s Semnan region. The tremors were felt as far as the capital, Tehran, more than a hundred kilometers from the epicenter. Although the quake wasn’t particularly powerful and resulted in no casualties, it has sparked significant global interest. The reason? There’s uncertainty over whether it was truly an earthquake at all.
It’s easy to see why Tehran’s leadership might have an interest in conducting a test that leaves detectable traces while officially denying it: such an action could serve as a warning to adversaries, while maintaining a degree of political deniability. It would also introduce an element of strategic ambiguity—creating uncertainty among opponents—not necessarily about the event itself, but about Iran’s intentions moving forward.
However, it’s just as plausible that no test occurred at all. Publicly available discussions about the Semnan tremors are inconclusive, at least to the non-expert, focusing on technical details like the nature of the seismic waves and the exact epicenter. At this point, the only definitive conclusion is that we don’t know for certain: it could have been a regular earthquake, but the possibility of a nuclear test remains.
Source: RT.COM
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